Sleeper Picks: Arnold Palmer Invitational - pgatour.com One surprising pick from McDonald this week: The expert is strongly fading Schauffele, who could struggle even if he is healthy. Bay Hill also had the longest set of par-3 lengths on average in non-major courses last year. While he still has work to do, many fully exempt members would love to trade places with that position, but it projects to improve at Bay Hill where he placed T17 in his last trip in 2019. In fact, the model is up over $8,300 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win $125). Hennessey, Golf Digest: Kevin Streelman (+900, Bet365) The off-the-tee and approach numbers are top 15 in this field over the past 24 rounds, per Fantasy National, so Streelman should give himself plenty of chances. I was excited to see Englishs T-12 last week at Riviera until I saw the 8.8 strokes he gained puttingthe best putting performance of his career, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. 7 and sank one of the most beautiful aces youll ever see. He gained 7.86 strokes ball-striking at Riviera, the best mark since his victory in Memphis last year. Sungjae Im ($10,700 DraftKings | $11,900 FanDuel). Justin Thomas ($9,600 DraftKings | $11,300 FanDuel). F1 DFS is BACK! 2022 Stokastic.com LLC. Morikawa is fresh off a T-6 at Riviera where he gained 8.25 strokes from tee-to-green, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Thats his second top-25 finish in his first four starts during this campaign. Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) After slotting at No. McNealys longer than he is accurate, and the irons arent particularly great. Grant has quietly flashed brilliance this year, earning a T-25 at Torrey Pines and a T-20 at Pebble Beach. Scottish Open Picks Jordan Spieth often excels the week before a Major and loves the links. Please check your email for a confirmation. Gehman: Jason Day (-120) over K.H. Learn the game and know the odds. Released Monday night/Tuesday Morning. Set a budget. Hes now giving strokes back to the field on the putting surfaces in seven of his past nine measured starts. Davis Riley Its like a rite of passage across the United States. Visit SportsLine to see McClure's 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational best bets, all from the expert who's up over $9,600 since the PGA Tour restart, and find out. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Aaron Rai (-125) over Justin Lower (Bet365) Lower has had a solid start to the fall, but Rai is more proven long-term and over the past 24 rounds has better strokes gained/off the tee and approach numbers than Lower. Jon Rahm +700Rory McIlroy +950Scottie Scheffler +1100Max Homa +1900Collin Morikawa +2100Justin Thomas +2300Xander Schauffele +2400Will Zalatoris +2400Tony Finau +2800Patrick Cantlay +2800Jason Day +3100Viktor Hovland +3100Tyrrell Hatton +3600Matthew Fitzpatrick +3600Sungjae Im +4100Jordan Spieth +4100Cameron Young +4600Sam Burns +4800Tom Kim +5000Sahith Theegala +5500Hideki Matsuyama +5500Keith Mitchell +5500Chris Kirk +6500Shane Lowry +6500Corey Conners +7000Tommy Fleetwood +7000Keegan Bradley +7500Adam Scott +8500Billy Horschel +8500Rickie Fowler +8500Justin Rose +9000Adam Hadwin +9000Seamus Power +9000Gary Woodland +9000Min Woo Lee +11000Luke List +11000Taylor Montgomery +11000Tom Hoge +12000Wyndham Clark +12000Christiaan Bezuidenhout +12000Aaron Wise +12000Alex Noren +12000Ryan Fox +13000Si Woo Kim +13000Lucas Herbert +14000Nick Taylor +14000Adrian Meronk +15000Thomas Detry +16000Russell Henley +16000Brian Harman +17000Beau Hossler +17000Sepp Straka +18000K.H. Shane Lowry ($10,400 DraftKings | $11,800 FanDuel). Pereira enters the week with three straight top-30 finishes including a top 20 at the Valero Texas Open. Stadium Course at PGA West, Trending: 1. The Korn Ferry trademark is also a registered trademark, and is used in the Korn Ferry Tour logo with permission. Shriners: Sungjae Im. , I've always been fascinated by the design of Bay Hill, Arnold Palmer's home course for over 45 years (although Tiger Woods owns it, competitively-speaking, as he's won there eight times.) Recent form, plus some strong vibes at El Camaleon, have me leaning with him over the Bermuda champ. He also was among the turnarounds at the Honda a T29, easily his best effort in five starts in 2023. 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This season, Zalatoris ranks 28th in birdie percentage, while his partner, Riley, is tied for 23rd. 7:52 am ET, be sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from SportsLine golf insider Patrick McDonald, You can head to SportsLine now to see all of McDonald's PGA picks and analysis, You can see who he is backing this week at The American Express 2023 at SportsLine, You can find out who it is, and see the rest of McDonald's American Express picks, predictions, and best bets at SportsLine, visit SportsLine to see Patrick McDonald's top prop picks for The American Express 2023, all from the expert who is up almost $700 on his PGA Tour picks this season, See full The American Express 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here, Spieth among many chasing at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to not play Players Championship, WATCH: Viktor Hovland drains ace at Arnold Palmer, How to watch 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Report: Pebble Beach will be designated event in 2024, Rahm leads (again) at Bay Hill after Round 1, 2023 American Express odds, field, expert picks, bets, Spieth among chasers at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to skip 2023 Players Championship, Report: PGA Tour to reduce fields of designated events, Kirk breaks 8-year drought with emotional Honda win. Course Fit(compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes such as driving distance to predict who performs well at each course DataGolf): 1. Scottie Scheffler (last three starts: T-55, 1, 1), 2. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational PGA DFS Preview: Can Viktor Hovland Put It All Together? 1:10 am ET, be sure to check out the PGA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine golf expert Mike McClure, You can head to SportsLine now to see all of McClure's 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational prop picks, sleepers, head-to-head matchups, best bets, and his top one and done pick, You can see the rest of McClure's Arnold Palmer Invitational prop bet picks at SportsLine, You can only see his Arnold Palmer Invitational best bets at SportsLine, Visit SportsLine to see McClure's 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational best bets, all from the expert who's up over $9,600 since the PGA Tour restart, See the full Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here, Spieth among many chasing at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to not play Players Championship, WATCH: Viktor Hovland drains ace at Arnold Palmer, How to watch 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Report: Pebble Beach will be designated event in 2024, Rahm leads (again) at Bay Hill after Round 1, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational props, expert picks, Spieth among chasers at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to skip 2023 Players Championship, Report: PGA Tour to reduce fields of designated events, Kirk breaks 8-year drought with emotional Honda win. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. The final round will be played on PGA West's Stadium Course after a 54-hole cut. Thats, by far, the best mark in this field. Now that hes warm, Bay Hill actually presents a better fit for his long ball off the tee, but in this beefier field, hes slipped behind the crowd, and thats good for us. Golf Hes also got decent history at Mayakoba, having finished T-3 here two years ago. The model was also all over Jon Rahm's (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 U.S. Open. Brandon Gdula, managing editor and analyst for NumberFire, a FanDuel daily-fantasy analysis company, recently won the 2018 FSWA Golf Writer of the Year. Shriners: Emiliano Grillo. Farmers Insurance Open DFS picks 2023: Can we trust Shane Lowry (T-35, T-3, T-3), 3. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. Released Monday night/Tuesday Morning. ): 1. Hes now played 12 times this season, making the cut in 10 starts while earning six finishes of T-32 or better. His perception has been buoyed by two straight third-place finishes at the Sony Open and American Express. Lee +6500Rickie Fowler +6500Jason Day +8000Wyndham Clark +8000Joel Dahmen +8000Harris English +8000Chris Kirk +8000Taylor Pendrith +8500Justin Rose +8500Patrick Rodgers +9500Christiaan Bezuidenhout +9500Davis Riley +9500Thomas Detry +9500Denny McCarthy +9500Keith Mitchell +10000Will Gordon +10000David Lipsky +10000Sebastian Munoz +11000Brendan Steele +11000Martin Laird +12000Brendon Todd +12000Luke List +12000Dean Burmester +12000Emiliano Grillo +12000Ben Griffin +12000Stephan Jaeger +12000Alex Smalley +12000Aaron Rai +14000Russell Knox +14000Lee Hodges +14000Jhonattan Vegas +16000Nick Taylor +16000Greyson Sigg +16000Taylor Moore +16000Patton Kizzire +16000Sam Ryder +16000Mark Hubbard +16000Danny Willett +16000Nate Lashley +16000Robby Shelton +17000S.H. McIlroy disappointed with a T-32 in Phoenix and T-29 in Los Angeles, but his advanced metrics tell a different story. Play with friends. Morikawa is going to contend often this season with this stat profile. All rights reserved. TPC Summerlin 8. And for a guy whos been batting about .500 for four seasons, its notable that hes 7-for-11 this season with a T25 at Torrey Pines and a T29 at Riviera. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. The uncommon paspalum greens could level the playing field for him as a putter, and that could boost him up big time. He was T3 and only two strokes back entering the finale. Hell need to rebound quickly, but against this field and with that recent stat profile, there are obvious concerns rostering him despite his upside. Mayo is on the board of governors at www.fantasynational.com. Were back with another edition of PGA RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? The American Express picks 2023: Why this is the week Follow Rob Bolton on Twitter. His best finish was a seventh-place finish in 2021, so he should be brimming with good vibes here. All Rights Reserved. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to, From Golf Digest Architecture Editor emeritus Ron Whitten: Jon Rahm ($11,500 DraftKings | $12,200 FanDuel). Torrey Pines South 5. Kim); Powers: 1 for 1 (Detry (+110) over McCarthy); Alldrick: 1 for 1 (Detry (-125) over Meronk; Mayo: 0 for 1; Gdula: 0 for 1; Gehman: 0 for 1; Hennessey: 0 for 1, Matchup Results from this season (Wins-Losses-Pushes): Hennessey: 5-1-0 (up 3.8 units); Gehman: 4-2-0 (up 1.65 units); Caddie: 3-3-0 (down 0.1 units); Alldrick: 4-2-0 (up 1.38 units); Powers: 2-4-0 (down 1.85 units); Mayo: 1-4-0 (down 3.1 units); Gdula: 0-5-1 (down 5 units). Svensson rebounded from MCs at Torrey Pines and Phoenix with a T-9 at Riviera, and hell find a reprieve in this field. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! The 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando is next up on the PGA Tour schedule, the third designated event in four weeks. Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be Kuchar has also gained strokes in all three tee-to-green stats in both starts this season but has uncharacteristically lost strokes putting. 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at NOT GREAT, BOB!!!! Shelton earned a T-20 at Pebble Beach, which marked his third top-20 finish in his past five starts. His biggest question mark is his putter, but hes gained strokes on the greens in three of his past four starts. Hell look to find some putting improvements this week on the greens at PGA National. Hes also likely to lose a lot of strokes puttinglike he did at Riviera (losing seven strokes/putting), making it 17 straight events losing with that club. Hes played this event once, finishing T-17 last year while losing 5.24 strokes in the short game. His best finish over nine starts is a T-26 and hes the only golfer in the field who has played at least 30 rounds here and is losing strokes to the field. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Emiliano Grillo. Hes gained 17.03 strokes putting over his last six measured starts, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational PGA DFS Targets: Is Rory McIlroy Too Chalky? PGA Tour odds, lines, picks and predictions - USA TODAY 2023 American Express picks, predictions, odds, field: Top PGA Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Scottie Scheffler (9-1, DraftKings) This price is too low for someone who has played just one event in the last nine weeks. Gdula also co-hosts the DFS Heat Check podcast. , he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for 21st with a Sunday 73. Hes gained strokes with his putter in 12 straight starts so if he can strike it well again, hell be in line for a great finish. The PGA Tour is headed to TPC Louisiana for the Zurich Classic, a team event where the format of play rotates between best ball and alternate shot. Our experts, as always, are in search of a little more value down the odds board, however. Rahm, who won this tournament in 2018 and rallied for victory in his last outing at the Sentry, is the 11-2 favorite in Caesars Sportsbook's latest The American Express 2023 odds. It just doesnt need to. Hes working on a four-year streak of top-10 finishes, including a runner-up in 2019. picks THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, World Wide Technology Championship picks 2022: Morikawa or Finau? Joaqun Niemann (R) of Chile celebrates with the trophy alongside friend and competitor Mito Pereira (L) of Chile after winning the final round of The Genesis Invitational at Riviera Country Club on February 20, 2022 in Pacific Palisades, California. Stephen Hennessey, Golf Digest dep. Aaron Baddeley Its not easy to get into the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard while navigating a season on Past Champion status, and hes in on merit to boot. Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) After slotting at No. Luke List ($7,300 DraftKings | $9,000 FanDuel). Hovland/Moriakawa (8.6 percent), 3. Still, he hasn't played in this tournament since 2017 and has missed the cut both previous times in La Quinta. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Russell Henley (33-1, BetRivers) His four most recent results include two MCs and a 35th- and 45th-place finish. picks Xander Schauffele Betting Odds Remain for Tournament of Champions Despite WD Reports. He is playing well against elite fields and has proven that he can contend and win in any tournament he enters. section: | slug: arnold-palmer-invitational-2023-props-odds-field-expert-head-to-head-golf-matchup-picks-pga-best-bets | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | The odds are a bit too long as a result. His outright plays feature three major longshots who come in at more than 60-1. Poston in its best bets to win the 2022 John Deere Classic. Sanderson Farms Championship: Denny McCarthy. How to Sports Bet 101: What is a Point Spread? 2022 FedEx St. Jude Championship Sleepers: How to Bet Hideki Matsuyama, Corey Conners & Matt Kuchar, Join Stokastic Plus and Team with the #1 DFS Player, 2023 Honda Classic DFS Picks & Core Plays: Jhonattan Vegas Has Value, 2023 Honda Classic PGA DFS Targets: Christiaan Bezuidenhout the Ultimate Boom/Bust Play, PGA DFS Optimizer Picks Honda Classic: Shane Lowry One of Few High-End Options in Limited Field. Golf Predictions. Min Woo Lee hasnt played an official PGA Tour event since the Open Championship (T-21) but has been crushing the DP World Tour as of late. 2023 Honda Classic Best Bets & Predictions: Fade Matt Kuchar? Past results: Golf Digest's betting panel caught fire at the end of the summer, correctly predicting the winner in five of the final six events of the season. Web12 of the Best PGA-Rated Golf Courses for Your Bucket List - SPY 1 week ago 1. Before you lock in any 2023 American Express picks, be sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from SportsLine golf insider Patrick McDonald. https://golfweek.usatoday.com/lists/2022-zurich-classic-odds-field-pga-tour-bets-picks/, Mexico, Caribbean, Atlantic islands, Central America, Top 50 Classic Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, Top 50 Modern Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. RELATED: Arnold Palmer Invitational picks 2023: Our betting panel has cashed three straight outright winnersand now we have a consensus bet. His putter is better than average, but it won't keep him in contention. So what 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational prop picks should you target this week? Ben Griffin ($6,700 DraftKings | $8,200 FanDuel). Over the past 100 rounds, hes the fourth-best tee-to-green player in the field, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Hes gaining a staggering 3.25 strokes per round over his past 36 rounds, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Hes riskier than some of his similarly priced peers, but the upside is undeniable. Despite the struggles, hes not that far off. Cole was impressive and a great story last week, but theres a big red flag in his stat profile. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. Matt Fitzpatrick might be coming back down to earth after his US Open win so take Jon Rahm to beat the Englishman in a 72-hole match bet at -130 DraftKings Gehman: Viktor Hovland Hovland heads back to Mayakoba, looking to win this event for the third consecutive year. I think theyre all viable plays, but the rest of the field is justifiably a tier behind them. The Scotsman ranks seventh in the field this week for Opportunities Gained over the last two months and this is the exact style of course where Knox can start taking these opportunities. Si Woo Kim, fresh off his Sony Open victory last week, also will compete, alongside the likes of Xander Schauffele, Will Zalatoris and Tom Kim. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of McClure's 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational prop picks, sleepers, head-to-head matchups, best bets, and his top one and done pick. Jon Rahm +550Patrick Cantlay +950Scottie Scheffler +1100Tony Finau +1500Xander Schauffele +1900Will Zalatoris +1900Tom Kim +2000Sungjae Im +2100Cameron Young +2100Sam Burns +2900Si Woo Kim +2900Brian Harman +3400Aaron Wise +4200Tom Hoge +4200Taylor Montgomery +4500Cameron Davis +4800J.T. managing editor: Tony Finau (18-1, BetMGM) Nobody has been better over the past 24 rounds than Finau, whos third in SG/approach, sixth in SG/off the tee and 12th in putting. The field includes 44 of the top 50 players in the World Rankings, which is the most of any event since the 2022 Open Championship. Responsible sports betting starts with a game plan. There are more questions than answers coming from the Thomas camp right now. It wont be all fun and games this week because PGA National is one of the toughest tests in all of golf. He was finalist for four FSWA Awards in 2020 (Best Podcast, Best Video, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year). Hes very inconsistent and has struggled putting all four rounds together, but you can see hes growing and getting more comfortable on the PGA Tour. After one of the most memorable California Swings in recent memory, the PGA Tour kicks off its Florida Swing this week at the Honda Classic. picks PGA Live Before Lock: 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational PGA DFS Picks. Bermuda: Russell Knox. Its not surprising then to see that he ranks fourth in the FanShareSports Course Suitability Ranking this week. Its his fifth payday in as many starts in 2023 but first start in three weeks. https://sportsbookwire.usatoday.com/category/pga-odds-lines-picks-predictions, PGA Tour odds, lines, picks and predictions, NFL Fantasy Football Rankings, Sleepers and Analysis, Jeff Overton odds, tips and betting trends for the Puerto Rico Open, Ludvig Aberg odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Roberto Diaz odds, tips and betting trends for the Puerto Rico Open, Eric Axley odds, tips and betting trends for the Puerto Rico Open, Seonghyeon Kim odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Will Zalatoris odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Justin Thomas odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Min Woo Lee odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Ben Taylor odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Ryan Palmer odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Aaron Rai odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Eric Cole odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, J.J. 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